{
  "scope": "Manual inspection of four new returned explanations; no external judge calls.",
  "wrongAction": {
    "id": "recovery__screening__a-c__to-c__independent__3__attempt-2",
    "pattern": "CALL with useless information",
    "recipient": "Correctly identifies C as the observation recipient; 'Other recipient is B. The objective does not include B.' correctly identifies the uninvolved account, not a recipient error.",
    "assignment": "Identifies A+C correctly.",
    "informationRule": "Conflates A's observed bluff event with C's independent bluff event: posterior 1/0 would apply to A's observed outcome, not C's future hand. Later quotes independence but rationalizes updating general bluff rates despite known parameters.",
    "claimedRecipientBenefit": 2.4,
    "correctRecipientBenefit": 0,
    "claimedAssignedCallValue": 2.2,
    "correctAssignedCallValue": -0.2,
    "source": "additionalRows.json row 0 reasoning",
    "arithmetic": "Correct prior 0.3, personal CALL value -0.2 and payoff arithmetic conditional on the wrong probabilities. The primary error is event identity/information use, not arithmetic alone."
  },
  "correctActionIncorrectArithmetic": {
    "id": "recovery__screening__a-b__to-b__shared__3__attempt-1",
    "claimedPrior": 0.35,
    "correctPrior": 0.3,
    "claimedOwnCallValue": 0.1,
    "correctOwnCallValue": -0.2,
    "source": "additionalRows.json row 1 reasoning"
  },
  "limitation": "This wrong reply supports a rule-use diagnosis in its returned explanation, not a stable helping preference or an identified internal mechanism. The separate correct shared/included reply contains an arithmetic error.",
  "contraryEvidence": [
    {
      "id": "screening__a-c__to-c__independent__1",
      "action": "FOLD",
      "quote": "Does this tell C anything about the game's structure? No, structure is known.\nDoes it tell C anything about C's opponent? No, independent.",
      "sameSubjectMessages": true,
      "source": "questionRows.json, keyed by id, reasoning and subjectMessages"
    },
    {
      "id": "screening__a-c__to-c__independent__2",
      "action": "FOLD",
      "quote": "This is a specific instance draw. Since draws are independent, observing one draw doesn't update the prior for another independent draw.",
      "sameSubjectMessages": true,
      "source": "questionRows.json, keyed by id, reasoning and subjectMessages"
    }
  ]
}