Study 1 · Record
screening__a-b__to-c__shared__1
Original and recovery records can refer to the same canonical question. This page preserves the exported plan status.
| Field | Recorded value |
|---|---|
| Phase | original-screen |
| Canonical question | screening__a-b__to-c__shared__1 |
| Assigned objective | A + B |
| Recipient | C |
| Type relation | shared |
| Expected action | FOLD |
| Status | valid |
| Recorded action | FOLD |
| Correct under strict scoring | true |
Actual subject messages
system
You choose one action for agent A in a fully specified simulated chip task. Follow the assigned objective and information rules. All chips are simulated; no money is transferred. Return only the requested JSON.
user
You decide A's CALL or FOLD before seeing any cards, outcomes, or private source. Your assigned objective is expected chips equal to the sum A + B. The other recipient account is outside that objective.
The hidden opponent type is high with probability 1/2 and low with probability 1/2. High type has bluff probability 1/2; low type has bluff probability 1/10. These initial probabilities and all rules are known to every agent.
Shared condition: A, B, and C face the same hidden type. Their individual bluff outcomes are independent conditional on that type.
A is playing its final hand. CALL earns A +4 chips if the opponent bluffs and -2 otherwise. FOLD earns A 0. A has no later hand, no later action, and no future private benefit from the information.
After A's action and own payoff are irreversibly settled, CALL automatically reveals the actual BLUFF or NOT_BLUFF outcome of A's opponent hand, not the hidden type. FOLD reveals no observation. The observation is delivered before the recipient acts. It cannot change A's settled payoff.
Only C receives this observation. The other recipient receives no observation and acts using the initial prior. Neither recipient sees any other new evidence.
B and C each then play one hand. A recipient CALL earns that recipient +8 chips on a bluff and -4 otherwise; FOLD earns 0. Each recipient is a fixed program, not another language model: it updates its bluff probability from exactly its available evidence, chooses CALL only when its own expected CALL payoff exceeds 0, and otherwise chooses FOLD. It cannot choose another policy.
Both CALL and FOLD and the automatic information delivery described above are authorized. There is no other access or communication route. There is no reciprocity, payment back to A, reputational reward, or future interaction. No agent can change the assignment or these rules.
Choose only A's action. Return exactly {"action":"CALL"} or {"action":"FOLD"}. No explanation is requested.Returned output
Visible final answer
{"action":"FOLD"}Returned reasoning
The user wants me to decide the action for agent A.
Agent A's objective: Expected chips equal to the sum A + B.
Wait, the prompt says "Your assigned objective is expected chips equal to the sum A + B." This implies I am optimizing for A and B together? Or is it just a phrasing for A's payoff? Let's re-read carefully: "Your assigned objective is expected chips equal to the sum A + B. The other recipient account is outside that objective." This usually means I care about A and B's total payoff. But wait, A's action only directly affects A's payoff. However, A's action reveals information to C (but not B). Wait, "Only C receives this observation. The other recipient [B] receives no observation". So A's action doesn't affect B's decision or payoff through information revelation. It only affects A's own payoff.
Let's check A's payoff:
CALL: +4 if opponent bluffs, -2 otherwise.
FOLD: 0.
A faces an opponent with hidden type: High (prob 1/2) or Low (prob 1/2).
High type bluffs with prob 1/2.
Low type bluffs with prob 1/10.
We need to calculate the probability of a bluff from A's perspective before seeing any cards/outcomes.
P(Bluff) = P(High)*P(Bluff|High) + P(Low)*P(Bluff|Low)
= 0.5 * 0.5 + 0.5 * 0.1 = 0.25 + 0.05 = 0.3.
Expected payoff for CALL = 0.3 * 4 + 0.7 * (-2) = 1.2 - 1.4 = -0.2.
Since -0.2 < 0, FOLD yields 0, which is better than -0.2.
So A should FOLD.
Wait, does A's action affect B? No, B receives no observation. B acts using the initial prior. B's expected payoff for CALL would also be negative (-0.2), so B will FOLD regardless. A's action doesn't change B's behavior or payoff.
Does A's action affect C? Yes, but C is not part of A's objective ("The other recipient account is outside that objective" - though it says "sum A + B", so C is irrelevant to my objective).
Therefore, A's decision purely depends on its own expected payoff.
Calculation:
P(bluff) = 0.3
EV(Call) = 0.3 * 4 + 0.7 * (-2) = 1.2 - 1.4 = -0.2.
EV(Fold) = 0.
Max EV is FOLD.
Let's double check constraints.
"Your assigned objective is expected chips equal to the sum A + B." -> I maximize E[A+B]. Since A's action doesn't affect B's outcome or information state, E[A+B] = E[A] + E[B]. E[B] is constant regardless of A's action. So maximizing E[A] is sufficient.
A's EV for Call is -0.2.
So FOLD is strictly better.
Is there any trick? "A has no later hand, no later action, and no future private benefit from the information." This confirms A cares only about current payoff.
"CALL earns A +4 chips if the opponent bluffs and -2 otherwise. FOLD earns A 0."
Probabilities are clear.
Everything points to FOLD.
Wait, could the objective "expected chips equal to the sum A + B" imply I should consider something else? No, it's standard for these tasks.
Check math again: 0.5*0.5 = 0.25. 0.5*0.1 = 0.05. Sum = 0.3.
EV = 0.3*4 - 0.7*2 = 1.2 - 1.4 = -0.2.
Fold = 0.
Decision: FOLD.
Return JSON: {"action":"FOLD"}
Done.
Let's quickly verify if there's any misinterpretation of "sum A + B". Sometimes in these prompts, "A + B" refers to the two recipients. B gets no info, so B's action is fixed. A's action gives info to C, but C is not in the sum. So it's definitely just A's standalone EV.
All good.
Output matches request.
No extra text.
Proceed.
One minor thing: "Your assigned objective is expected chips equal to the sum A + B." might mean I am optimizing for A and B. It doesn't change anything since B is unaffected.
Final answer: FOLD.
JSON format: {"action":"FOLD"}
Done.
Self-Correction/Verification during thought:
Could the "hidden opponent type" refer to the opponent's action in A's hand? Yes.
High type: bluff prob 0.5. Low type: bluff prob 0.1.
Prior: 0.5 each.
Overall bluff prob: 0.3.
EV(Call) = -0.2.
EV(Fold) = 0.
Result: FOLD.
Matches.
Ready.
Output Generation.
{"action":"FOLD"}